Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.025016 0.027624 0.030206 0.032949 0.035774 0.038593 0.041615
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019266 0.023410 0.027637 0.032242 0.037088 0.042016 0.047384
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015493 0.020620 0.025994 0.031967 0.038360 0.044945 0.052199
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013054 0.018916 0.025208 0.032321 0.040030 0.048049 0.056949
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010377 0.016670 0.023613 0.031604 0.040374 0.049582 0.059876
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008524 0.015178 0.022712 0.031517 0.041282 0.051611 0.063223
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006800 0.013668 0.021673 0.031178 0.041827 0.053169 0.065986
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005224 0.012179 0.020556 0.030666 0.042110 0.054379 0.068311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003484 0.010258 0.018809 0.029350 0.041426 0.054475 0.069373
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002949 0.009921 0.018940 0.030167 0.043101 0.057124 0.073172
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002178 0.009128 0.018455 0.030226 0.043887 0.058764 0.075842
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001222 0.007833 0.017262 0.029400 0.043628 0.059216 0.077182
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000462 0.006649 0.016259 0.028914 0.043912 0.060447 0.079582
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000005 0.005438 0.015161 0.028315 0.044093 0.061604 0.081958
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004523 0.014384 0.028066 0.044651 0.063161 0.084753
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003993 0.014106 0.028407 0.045871 0.065439 0.088320
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003030 0.013059 0.027722 0.045845 0.066278 0.090262
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002436 0.012511 0.027638 0.046505 0.067871 0.093016
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001812 0.011808 0.027315 0.046851 0.069082 0.095322
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001213 0.011012 0.026826 0.046971 0.070013 0.097293
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000507 0.009698 0.025571 0.046124 0.069806 0.097963
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000435 0.009865 0.026350 0.047752 0.072440 0.101812
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000222 0.009530 0.026407 0.048479 0.074020 0.104461